The Pitching Staff
With 60% of last yer's rotation gone, it should be a roller coaster ride for the Jaguars' starting five. Solid but unspectacular, the team will clearly need to rely on scoring and defense to continue the string of playoff appearances.
The Rotation
Sammy Bennett (L) - Still recovering from a devastating elbow injury, Sammy remains a very effective pitcher. The 26 year old has won twice as many games as he's lost, and will need to continue to do so for the Jackals to compete.
Jerrod Crawford (L) - And now the rotation starts to get dicey. Crawford is capable of throwing a no-hitter every time out, but he's also capable of giving up 10 runs in 2 2/3 innings. Jacksonville is hoping for more of the former than the latter.
Torey Alvarado (R) - Followed up a stellar sophomore season with a subpar Season 7. The Jackals are praying he returns to form.
David Valentin (L) - The crafty lefty has all the tools, but has yet to put together an entire outstanding season. With the defensive upgrade at the catcher position, this could be the year.
Hee Cheng (R) - Signed off of the scrap heap to start every fifth day, he'll be returning to said heap if he doesn't dramatically improve on last season's numbers.
The Bullpen
Without a doubt, the strength of the Jackals' pitching staff. Very good long relief, excellent setup men, and a return to glory for the closer mean that late inning leads should be safe this season.
Long Relief/Mopup - Harry Santiago (R), Cody Snyder (R) and Eduardo Cruz (R) will bridge the gap from the starters to the setup men, trying to keep the game within reach until the offense can bludgeon the opposing pitcher to death.
Setup - Kareem Freeman (R) and Jared DeShields (L) could close for most teams in the league, so having them as setup men are a nice luxury. Edgar DeLeon will fill in the gaps when they're fatigued.
Closer - Bob Shaw is back, baby! A reduced pitch count led to a rebirth for the closer, and we look for him to continue to give opposing hitters late inning nightmares.
The Bottom Line
The rotation was assembled in this fashion for one reason and one reason only - to give the offense a chance to win the games. Any late lead should be safe, but the question remains: With a rotation this far below the Jacksonville norm, how many late leads will there be?
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
Sacramento Terrible Two's (Season 8 Preview)...
The ever elusive Championship Ring finally landed in Sacramento in season 7. After winning 101 games in season 4, 105 in season 5, and setting an NABCL record by winning 114 games in season 6, the Two's slumped back to 97 wins in season 7 due to injuries up and down the lineup (Otis Pavlov lost for 90 games; Vinny Granger lost for 95 games; Tony Johnson lost for 300 games; Tony Martin lost for 45 games; Alex Schmidt lost for 60 games). But the team responded with grit and determination in the playoffs; rolling through with only 2 blemishes on the record. It was not that easy though. The World Series versus Philly could have easily gone either way as shown by the final game being decided by backup catcher Roger Gonzalez's 2-out bases loaded single (after an intentional walk of reigning NL MVP Otis Pavlov to load the bases). As we set out on our journey to repeat, there are more question marks with the team than we would like; and with the ultra-competitive NABCL as the backdrop, running the gauntlet again will not be easy.
Losses:
Tony Johnson (SP)--The season 6 Cy Young winner had his option declined as he went down for 300+ games with surgery and unfortunately wouldnt have been back until 20 games remained in the season. He will be sorely missed at the front end of the rotation with ace Albert Boone.
Tony Martin (SP/RP)--Again, injury concerns forced the Two's to let Mr. Martin go to free agency. It was a very close call with this one. The day before he was to sign a 5-year contract extension he went down to injury. Sacramento just didnt think he would ever regain his form and didnt justify a long term deal.
Alex Wright (SP)--A long time Terrible Two, Wright was acquired in a trade during Season 1 and was a main stay in the rotation. He was a workhorse and an innings eater but at 36-years old and declining attributes, his price tag was simply too high. We looked into bringing him back during free agency but even at $5 million, youth from within the organiztion won out.
Ismael Franco (RF)--In a move to make room for two up and coming prospects (Dave Glaus and Mitchell Drew), Franco was traded to Norfolk for phenom SS Dario Moran. Franco won the Silver Slugger in RF and was a bona fide power hitter but with his arbitration years coming to and end (and younger, cheaper alternatives beating down the door to the bigs) he was moved in a deal that was a win-win for all involved.
Additions
Dave Glaus (LF)--A true 1B by trade, his defensive numbers are just good enough (considering his bat) to move him to a corner outfield spot. Former MVP Albert Piper will move to RF to take over for the departed Ismael Franco so the young phenom can get his stick in the lineup. Glaus comes in at 79 (contact), 98 (power), 77/57 (splits), and 81 (eye) and his projected numbers are even higher. He tore up every stop during the minors and will more than make up for the loss of Franco. He hit 34 bombs in part time duty last year and in a lineup surrounded by Pavlov and Piper the Two's expect huge numbers from the youngster who was the 17th overall pick in the season 4 draft.
Mitchell Drew (C/1B)--With All Star Brandon Nixon firmly entrenched behind the plate and a pitchcalling defeciency, Drew will move to 1B. He is another pure hitter who can do it all. Another prospect who dominated every stop in the minors brings a 82 (contact), 58 (power), 89/94 (splits), and 84 (eye) to the table. Chosen with the 15th overall pick in the season 3 draft, he projects to a ridiculous 85/60/96/98/89 line. In part time duty last year he hit .302/.390/.463 with 16 hr's and 54 rbi in only 104 games. This year he wont have to catch which should add at-bats and ultimately production to the lineup.
Randy Delucci (SP)--Delucci was chosen by Durham with the 6th overall pick in the season 4 draft and was acquired by the Two's in a trade from Iowa City in season 6. He will step into the rotation after trips to the Minor League All Star games in AA and AAA. His projected numbers are 87 (stamina), 84 (control), 79/71 (splits), and pitches (93/73/61/46). With a 26 durability rating and 100 health, Randy should step right in and be a solid 4th or 5th starter this season with less pressure than your average rookie.
Ken Small (SP)--The Two's have used the recipe of trading for players and building from within and rarely open up their wallets during free agency, but this off-season was different with more question marks than usual. Small was signed away from New Orleans to a 3 year, $12 million contract to step in at the back end of the rotation. An 11-year veteran has done it all with 23 saves and 41 wins over his career. When Sacramento goes with a 4-man rotation he will move to the bullpen and provide solid leadership and quality innings.
Evan Oquist (SP/RP/possible closer)--Another free agent signed away from New Orleans, Oquist inked a 2 year deal for $5 million. Former win totals of 14, 12, 11, and 11 show he has the makeup to get big league hitters out. And with a starters stamina, he will get a very long look at becoming a possible 2-inning closer. It will be a battle going up against arguably the leagues best bullpen in Zephyr Johnson, Cy Dillon, and the infamous Billy Ray Politte. Either way, you can never go wrong with a solid arm in this wonderful game of baseball.
Lineup
Teddy Fischbach 2B-Teddy in his middle arbitration year won a salary of $6.1 million (which is an unfortunate trend for the Terrible Two's and will eventually lead to their breakup--but not for awhile) will once again lead off. He had a down year for him last year after hitting in the high .280's+ the last 3 years he slumped to .246 last year and failed to hit double digit hr's for the first time in his career. He also failed to steal 30 bases for the first time as well. With a line of 81/58/80/77/60 we will chalk that up to a fluke year and expect a return to the .290/.380 12 hr/80 rbi/100 runs/35 sb line of years past. He is only 28 years old and should have many solid years of production ahead.
Vinny Granger CF-Vinny was coming off a fantastic season 6 where he won the CF Silver Slugger and was an All Star when he hit .309/.399/.518/.917 while hitting 22 hr's/100 rbi and scoring 129 runs. Season 7 was interrupted with a torn knee ligament and limited him to only 347 ab's. He still put up solid numbers while hitting .294/.385 with 10 hr's and 51 runs scored but his glove and bat were greatly missed. He is back to 100% health and will once again be a force at the top of the lineup.
Albert Piper RF-Where do you start with Piper? He is one of the best in the league, a 4-time All Star, a Silver Slugger winner last year, and was the season 5 NL MVP. His last 3 seasons have produced 116 hr's, 424 rbi, 363 runs scored, averages of .326, .300, and .313, and on base percentages of .390, and .387 twice. He is as good as they come and will hit in his customary 3 hole ahead of Dave Glaus and another MVP in Otis Pavlov. After suffering an almost career ending injury in season 3, he has responded by averaging 620 ab's the last 3 seasons. Look for Albert to be among the debate for NL MVP once again in season 8.
Dave Glaus LF-The 25-year old Glaus will see his first full season in the bigs this year. A left-handed bat with prodigious power, he will have the benefit of hitting between Piper and Pavlov and will have plenty of ducks on the pond as well as plenty of chances to cross home plate. He hit 34 bombs in only 444 ab's last year and he could easily reach 50 hr's this season. If he can reach his minor league average of .344 he will also be among those in the discussion for league MVP.
Otis Pavlov 3B-Pavlov has done nothing but produce since he was acquired from Las Vegas in season 3. He has been an All Star 5 times, won a Gold Glove, has accomplished 2 30/30 seasons along with 2 more with 28 stolen bases, has won the Silver Slugger 4 times, won the MVP once, and finished 2nd in the MVP race twice. A switch hitting menace, Pavlov also went down to injury last season and only reached the plate 363 times; but still hit an amazing 40 hr's while driving in 89 runs. That is ridiculous!!! He was on pace to hit 72 hr's if he received his usual 640 ab's. With the lumber on base in front of him Otis should easily return to his MVP form and hit .300 while regaining his 50+ hr form and once again reach 160 rbi; while also stealing 30. He is one of the best 3 all around players in the game. Period.
Mitchell Drew 1B-The other young buck in the lineup has one of the sweetest strokes around and could also hit 2 or 3 on any given day. In only 404 ab's last year he hit .302 with a .390 obp, and chipped in 16 round trippers. There is no ceiling for this future All-Star and he has more than one batting title in his future.
Brandon Nixon C-A 2-time All Star and season 6 Silver Slugger winner also had a pitchers ERA of 3.25 in 127 starts behing the plate. That would normally be enough to warrant the start, but when you throw in his average season of 30+ hr's, 90+ rbi, near 100 runs, .300+ ba, and .400 obp, you see why he is so valuable to the team.
R.J. Lee SS-The one Two who isnt in the lineup to hit. Lee is a Gold Glove winner in waiting and his expertise is with the leather. His range (92), glove (93), arm strength (90), and arm accuracy (94) put him near the top of the defensive SS food chain. He led the league in K's which the organization would love for him to cut down on, but ultimately as long as he keeps saving runs with his glove no one will mind.
Bench
Harry Decker (OF/2B)-Decker is the perfect "Jack of all Trades" utility man and was voted as the teams MVP last year by his teammates. He stepped in to play CF when Vinny Granger went down to injury and performed admirably. He hit .276/.334, scored 71 runs, and stole an amazing 43 bases in a career high 464 ab's. When it was all said and done, Decker played 2B, 3B, and all 3 OF spots. He is as valuable as they come and will see plenty of action in season 8.
Roger Gonzalez (C)-He would be the starting catcher on almost any other team in the bigs. He rarely strikes out, hits for power, and absolutely crushes left-handed pitching (100 rating). He also had the most memorable at-bat in Terrible Two's history. The scene was Game 5 of the season 7 World Series and it was the bottom of the 10th inning with Sacramento holding a 3 games to 1 lead over Philly. It was a tie game, 2 outs, with runners at 2nd and 3rd when Otis Pavlov came to the plate. With a base open Philly decided to intentionally walk Pavlov and load the bases. Sacramento countered by bringing in Gonzalez off the bench to pinch hit. The rest is history as Gonzalez singled up the middle giving Sacramento its first ever World Championship. This year he will once again backup starter Brandon Nixon and should see about 200 ab's. Last year in 139 ab's he hit .281/.342 but more importantly possessed a 3.78 pitchers ERA.
The rest of the bench will be decided during Spring Training but one spot will be held for a defensive player to take over for Dave Glaus in LF late in games.
Rotation
Albert Boone (SP)-He is the Ace of the staff, the longest tenured Two (on the teams original roster in season 1), the Face of the Franchise, and the All-Time Wins Leader (122) in NABCL history. At 36 years old he shows zero signs of slowing down and has actually gotten better each year that has passed by as his off season workouts always bring him to Spring Training with higher attributes than the season before. He is extremely durable (knock on wood) as shown by the fact that he has never thrown less than 246 innings in a season. He also set NABCL records last year with 317.2 innings pitched and an amazing 300 strikeouts. He won 21 games (a career high), had 10 complete games (a career high), and 6 shutouts (also a career high). Boone has made the All-Star team in 5 of the 7 seasons in the NABCL and is also one of the best hitting pitchers in the game. He was the season 6 Silver Slugger winner for pitchers. He is signed through season 9 at a very reasonable $8 million. He should be a lock as a first ballot Hall of Famer and the first in Terrible Two's history. He will be inked in on Opening Day and should continue to be the dominant workhorse to lead the Two's on their quest to go "back to back".
Fausto Bennett (SP)-Already a 20-game winner in his 3 year career, Fausto had his best season to date. A 16-7 record, 205 ip with only 159 hits given up, 223 k's, a .214 oav, and a 3.03 ERA. At only 28 years old he is just now entering the prime years of his career. In only 3 1/2 seasons of work his overall record stands at 69-33 and is considered another Ace pitching out of the 2 hole. With only 1 arbitration year remaining, the team doesnt want it to get that far and are working on a long term deal which will hopefully be signed during the season.
Alex Schmidt (SP)-Oh how the seasons fly by; the phenom all grown up. Schmidt was the first ever draft pick for the Terrible Two's, selected with the #2 overall pick in teh season 1 draft. And he has not dissapointed. Now a fixture in the starting rotation, only elbow tendinitis kept him from another stellar season last year. Although 11-5, a .240 oav, a 3.50 ERA, and 3 shutouts in only 136.1 innings is still a very good year. At 25 years old Schmidt is still developing and has yet to reach his peak, which is a scary thing for the rest of the league. He will eventually take over for Albert Boone as the Ace of the staff and a Cy Young Award in the future would not surprise anyone.
Randy Delucci (SP)-This is where the rotation gets somewhat dicey, if only because Delucci has yet to perform at the major league level. A great prospect in the Durham/Iowa City systems, he was the 6th overall pick in the season 4 draft. He projects to be a stud; 87 (stamina), 84 (control), 79/71 (splits), 93/73/61/49 (pitches). Delucci was called up late in the season but managed to throw only 4 innings, which is the extent of his big league experience. It may take him a few starts to get acclaimated to his new surroundings, but Sacramento has enough faith in his abilities to hand him the #4 spot in a great rotation.
Ken Small (SP)-As stated in the "additions" section at the beginning of the preview, Small will provide veteran leadership and a quality arm at the back end of the rotation. The Two's will go with a 4-man rotation at times during the season which will put Small in the bullpen and strengthen it that much further.
Other candidates for the #5 spot in the rotation-Jeff Schmidt (a Rule V pick this year with a 16-5 career record in parts of 5 ML seasons); Evan Oquist (signed as a free agent in the offseason will get a chance to close, but will play a huge role whether it be in the bullpen, at closer, or in the rotation); Duke Myers (another injury plauged pitcher who missed part of last season with a sore elbow, the injury caused him to lose some of his overall projections and he will have to regain those projections to fulfill the promise he showed early in his minor league career which spawned the trade to the Two's)
Bullpen
The trio of Zephyr Johnson, Billy Ray Politte, and Cy Dillon are among the very best in the business. Somehow, someway, they get the job done, get guys out, and close out games.
Zephyr Johnson should be the closer of the future. He has ridiculous projected attributes and with his stamina could easily be a 2-inning closer. His problem is that he makes it interesting far too often. He rarely gets a 1-2-3 inning (although this Spring Training he has been much more dominant; a sign we hope carries over to the regular season), but also rarely allows runners to score. A typical inning consists of a walk, a hit or two, and 3 outs with zero runs. If he ever learns to keep guys off base his ceiling is unlimited.
Billy Ray, Billy Ray, Billy Ray!!! He hasnt officially been the closer in 3 seasons but still ranks 4th on the all-time saves list. He seems haunted by a blown save versus Portland in the season 4 NLDS. He has not been the same since that fateful night. If it is not a save situation he is as good as they come, but somehow he cant get his mind right to close games. A change of scenery could reignite his career as his attributes are borderline unhittable. He will still get a chance to close at some point, but his name has also been linked to numerous trade rumors this season and he could just as easily be closing for a different team at the end of the year.
With Cy Dillon, he saved 36 games in 41 chances in season 6 as the full-time closer. He saved another 15 last year but it was ultimately a bullpen by committee (something the Two's want to avoid this year at all costs). He will get a look as well at the end of games. His rating numbers are pedestrian compared to the other two, but somehow he finds a way to dominate hitters (and that is the bottom line). The offense in Sacramento is among the leagues best, but the pitching is its backbone. With a monster rotation and a solid bullpen, the Two's will continue to be amongst the leagues best even on nights where they themselves run into lights out pitching (which the NL is stock full of).
Prospects
We will update our prospects (the few we have) in the next post. Most of our prospects are now in the bigs but the Two's do have a handful of players that will one day take over positions in the show.
Overview
I won't make a prediction for my team because I dont want to sound like a homer, and besides, who wouldnt pick their own team to win it all? We are going to try to become the second team in the history of the NABCL to win back to back titles.
Strengths-If healthy, our offense is full of All-Stars who hit for power and average. They get on base and can play small ball. We can also get around the bases by stealing or the hit and run. The Two's have never scored 1000 runs in a season but have had over 950 three times, and even with all the injuries last year we still scored over 800.
Again, if healthy, the pitching staff should be outstanding. Last year Sacramento gave up only 602 runs which led the league. A potent offense and a stingy pitching staff usually lead to success. The Two's also have finished in the top 3 in defense (fewest errors) the last 3 years.
Weaknesses-Two rookies on offense being thrust into starting roles and one rookie pitcher on defense. The season wont necessarily hang in the balance with these 3, and they could become strengths, but at this point they are unknowns, what ifs at best. 3/5ths of the rotation over 35 years old, although Albert Boone pitches like his is 27. If it continues great, but it could be a disaster otherwise.
Overall the Sacramento Terrible Two's must be considered one of the early favorites to win the pennant and represent the NL in the World Series. But the NL is loaded with Chicago, Vancouver, Scranton, Seattle, Trenton, Kansas City, Memphis, New Orleans, San Antonio, Portland, Salem, and Colorado Springs, all proven teams or on the rise. Nothing will come easy in the Senior Circuit, and the winner will be much deserved.
Raley Field is SOLD OUT and ready to rock!!! The ceremony to hang the banner is set, and the rings have been designed, ordered, and delivered. Let's get it on. Bring on Season 8!!!
Losses:
Tony Johnson (SP)--The season 6 Cy Young winner had his option declined as he went down for 300+ games with surgery and unfortunately wouldnt have been back until 20 games remained in the season. He will be sorely missed at the front end of the rotation with ace Albert Boone.
Tony Martin (SP/RP)--Again, injury concerns forced the Two's to let Mr. Martin go to free agency. It was a very close call with this one. The day before he was to sign a 5-year contract extension he went down to injury. Sacramento just didnt think he would ever regain his form and didnt justify a long term deal.
Alex Wright (SP)--A long time Terrible Two, Wright was acquired in a trade during Season 1 and was a main stay in the rotation. He was a workhorse and an innings eater but at 36-years old and declining attributes, his price tag was simply too high. We looked into bringing him back during free agency but even at $5 million, youth from within the organiztion won out.
Ismael Franco (RF)--In a move to make room for two up and coming prospects (Dave Glaus and Mitchell Drew), Franco was traded to Norfolk for phenom SS Dario Moran. Franco won the Silver Slugger in RF and was a bona fide power hitter but with his arbitration years coming to and end (and younger, cheaper alternatives beating down the door to the bigs) he was moved in a deal that was a win-win for all involved.
Additions
Dave Glaus (LF)--A true 1B by trade, his defensive numbers are just good enough (considering his bat) to move him to a corner outfield spot. Former MVP Albert Piper will move to RF to take over for the departed Ismael Franco so the young phenom can get his stick in the lineup. Glaus comes in at 79 (contact), 98 (power), 77/57 (splits), and 81 (eye) and his projected numbers are even higher. He tore up every stop during the minors and will more than make up for the loss of Franco. He hit 34 bombs in part time duty last year and in a lineup surrounded by Pavlov and Piper the Two's expect huge numbers from the youngster who was the 17th overall pick in the season 4 draft.
Mitchell Drew (C/1B)--With All Star Brandon Nixon firmly entrenched behind the plate and a pitchcalling defeciency, Drew will move to 1B. He is another pure hitter who can do it all. Another prospect who dominated every stop in the minors brings a 82 (contact), 58 (power), 89/94 (splits), and 84 (eye) to the table. Chosen with the 15th overall pick in the season 3 draft, he projects to a ridiculous 85/60/96/98/89 line. In part time duty last year he hit .302/.390/.463 with 16 hr's and 54 rbi in only 104 games. This year he wont have to catch which should add at-bats and ultimately production to the lineup.
Randy Delucci (SP)--Delucci was chosen by Durham with the 6th overall pick in the season 4 draft and was acquired by the Two's in a trade from Iowa City in season 6. He will step into the rotation after trips to the Minor League All Star games in AA and AAA. His projected numbers are 87 (stamina), 84 (control), 79/71 (splits), and pitches (93/73/61/46). With a 26 durability rating and 100 health, Randy should step right in and be a solid 4th or 5th starter this season with less pressure than your average rookie.
Ken Small (SP)--The Two's have used the recipe of trading for players and building from within and rarely open up their wallets during free agency, but this off-season was different with more question marks than usual. Small was signed away from New Orleans to a 3 year, $12 million contract to step in at the back end of the rotation. An 11-year veteran has done it all with 23 saves and 41 wins over his career. When Sacramento goes with a 4-man rotation he will move to the bullpen and provide solid leadership and quality innings.
Evan Oquist (SP/RP/possible closer)--Another free agent signed away from New Orleans, Oquist inked a 2 year deal for $5 million. Former win totals of 14, 12, 11, and 11 show he has the makeup to get big league hitters out. And with a starters stamina, he will get a very long look at becoming a possible 2-inning closer. It will be a battle going up against arguably the leagues best bullpen in Zephyr Johnson, Cy Dillon, and the infamous Billy Ray Politte. Either way, you can never go wrong with a solid arm in this wonderful game of baseball.
Lineup
Teddy Fischbach 2B-Teddy in his middle arbitration year won a salary of $6.1 million (which is an unfortunate trend for the Terrible Two's and will eventually lead to their breakup--but not for awhile) will once again lead off. He had a down year for him last year after hitting in the high .280's+ the last 3 years he slumped to .246 last year and failed to hit double digit hr's for the first time in his career. He also failed to steal 30 bases for the first time as well. With a line of 81/58/80/77/60 we will chalk that up to a fluke year and expect a return to the .290/.380 12 hr/80 rbi/100 runs/35 sb line of years past. He is only 28 years old and should have many solid years of production ahead.
Vinny Granger CF-Vinny was coming off a fantastic season 6 where he won the CF Silver Slugger and was an All Star when he hit .309/.399/.518/.917 while hitting 22 hr's/100 rbi and scoring 129 runs. Season 7 was interrupted with a torn knee ligament and limited him to only 347 ab's. He still put up solid numbers while hitting .294/.385 with 10 hr's and 51 runs scored but his glove and bat were greatly missed. He is back to 100% health and will once again be a force at the top of the lineup.
Albert Piper RF-Where do you start with Piper? He is one of the best in the league, a 4-time All Star, a Silver Slugger winner last year, and was the season 5 NL MVP. His last 3 seasons have produced 116 hr's, 424 rbi, 363 runs scored, averages of .326, .300, and .313, and on base percentages of .390, and .387 twice. He is as good as they come and will hit in his customary 3 hole ahead of Dave Glaus and another MVP in Otis Pavlov. After suffering an almost career ending injury in season 3, he has responded by averaging 620 ab's the last 3 seasons. Look for Albert to be among the debate for NL MVP once again in season 8.
Dave Glaus LF-The 25-year old Glaus will see his first full season in the bigs this year. A left-handed bat with prodigious power, he will have the benefit of hitting between Piper and Pavlov and will have plenty of ducks on the pond as well as plenty of chances to cross home plate. He hit 34 bombs in only 444 ab's last year and he could easily reach 50 hr's this season. If he can reach his minor league average of .344 he will also be among those in the discussion for league MVP.
Otis Pavlov 3B-Pavlov has done nothing but produce since he was acquired from Las Vegas in season 3. He has been an All Star 5 times, won a Gold Glove, has accomplished 2 30/30 seasons along with 2 more with 28 stolen bases, has won the Silver Slugger 4 times, won the MVP once, and finished 2nd in the MVP race twice. A switch hitting menace, Pavlov also went down to injury last season and only reached the plate 363 times; but still hit an amazing 40 hr's while driving in 89 runs. That is ridiculous!!! He was on pace to hit 72 hr's if he received his usual 640 ab's. With the lumber on base in front of him Otis should easily return to his MVP form and hit .300 while regaining his 50+ hr form and once again reach 160 rbi; while also stealing 30. He is one of the best 3 all around players in the game. Period.
Mitchell Drew 1B-The other young buck in the lineup has one of the sweetest strokes around and could also hit 2 or 3 on any given day. In only 404 ab's last year he hit .302 with a .390 obp, and chipped in 16 round trippers. There is no ceiling for this future All-Star and he has more than one batting title in his future.
Brandon Nixon C-A 2-time All Star and season 6 Silver Slugger winner also had a pitchers ERA of 3.25 in 127 starts behing the plate. That would normally be enough to warrant the start, but when you throw in his average season of 30+ hr's, 90+ rbi, near 100 runs, .300+ ba, and .400 obp, you see why he is so valuable to the team.
R.J. Lee SS-The one Two who isnt in the lineup to hit. Lee is a Gold Glove winner in waiting and his expertise is with the leather. His range (92), glove (93), arm strength (90), and arm accuracy (94) put him near the top of the defensive SS food chain. He led the league in K's which the organization would love for him to cut down on, but ultimately as long as he keeps saving runs with his glove no one will mind.
Bench
Harry Decker (OF/2B)-Decker is the perfect "Jack of all Trades" utility man and was voted as the teams MVP last year by his teammates. He stepped in to play CF when Vinny Granger went down to injury and performed admirably. He hit .276/.334, scored 71 runs, and stole an amazing 43 bases in a career high 464 ab's. When it was all said and done, Decker played 2B, 3B, and all 3 OF spots. He is as valuable as they come and will see plenty of action in season 8.
Roger Gonzalez (C)-He would be the starting catcher on almost any other team in the bigs. He rarely strikes out, hits for power, and absolutely crushes left-handed pitching (100 rating). He also had the most memorable at-bat in Terrible Two's history. The scene was Game 5 of the season 7 World Series and it was the bottom of the 10th inning with Sacramento holding a 3 games to 1 lead over Philly. It was a tie game, 2 outs, with runners at 2nd and 3rd when Otis Pavlov came to the plate. With a base open Philly decided to intentionally walk Pavlov and load the bases. Sacramento countered by bringing in Gonzalez off the bench to pinch hit. The rest is history as Gonzalez singled up the middle giving Sacramento its first ever World Championship. This year he will once again backup starter Brandon Nixon and should see about 200 ab's. Last year in 139 ab's he hit .281/.342 but more importantly possessed a 3.78 pitchers ERA.
The rest of the bench will be decided during Spring Training but one spot will be held for a defensive player to take over for Dave Glaus in LF late in games.
Rotation
Albert Boone (SP)-He is the Ace of the staff, the longest tenured Two (on the teams original roster in season 1), the Face of the Franchise, and the All-Time Wins Leader (122) in NABCL history. At 36 years old he shows zero signs of slowing down and has actually gotten better each year that has passed by as his off season workouts always bring him to Spring Training with higher attributes than the season before. He is extremely durable (knock on wood) as shown by the fact that he has never thrown less than 246 innings in a season. He also set NABCL records last year with 317.2 innings pitched and an amazing 300 strikeouts. He won 21 games (a career high), had 10 complete games (a career high), and 6 shutouts (also a career high). Boone has made the All-Star team in 5 of the 7 seasons in the NABCL and is also one of the best hitting pitchers in the game. He was the season 6 Silver Slugger winner for pitchers. He is signed through season 9 at a very reasonable $8 million. He should be a lock as a first ballot Hall of Famer and the first in Terrible Two's history. He will be inked in on Opening Day and should continue to be the dominant workhorse to lead the Two's on their quest to go "back to back".
Fausto Bennett (SP)-Already a 20-game winner in his 3 year career, Fausto had his best season to date. A 16-7 record, 205 ip with only 159 hits given up, 223 k's, a .214 oav, and a 3.03 ERA. At only 28 years old he is just now entering the prime years of his career. In only 3 1/2 seasons of work his overall record stands at 69-33 and is considered another Ace pitching out of the 2 hole. With only 1 arbitration year remaining, the team doesnt want it to get that far and are working on a long term deal which will hopefully be signed during the season.
Alex Schmidt (SP)-Oh how the seasons fly by; the phenom all grown up. Schmidt was the first ever draft pick for the Terrible Two's, selected with the #2 overall pick in teh season 1 draft. And he has not dissapointed. Now a fixture in the starting rotation, only elbow tendinitis kept him from another stellar season last year. Although 11-5, a .240 oav, a 3.50 ERA, and 3 shutouts in only 136.1 innings is still a very good year. At 25 years old Schmidt is still developing and has yet to reach his peak, which is a scary thing for the rest of the league. He will eventually take over for Albert Boone as the Ace of the staff and a Cy Young Award in the future would not surprise anyone.
Randy Delucci (SP)-This is where the rotation gets somewhat dicey, if only because Delucci has yet to perform at the major league level. A great prospect in the Durham/Iowa City systems, he was the 6th overall pick in the season 4 draft. He projects to be a stud; 87 (stamina), 84 (control), 79/71 (splits), 93/73/61/49 (pitches). Delucci was called up late in the season but managed to throw only 4 innings, which is the extent of his big league experience. It may take him a few starts to get acclaimated to his new surroundings, but Sacramento has enough faith in his abilities to hand him the #4 spot in a great rotation.
Ken Small (SP)-As stated in the "additions" section at the beginning of the preview, Small will provide veteran leadership and a quality arm at the back end of the rotation. The Two's will go with a 4-man rotation at times during the season which will put Small in the bullpen and strengthen it that much further.
Other candidates for the #5 spot in the rotation-Jeff Schmidt (a Rule V pick this year with a 16-5 career record in parts of 5 ML seasons); Evan Oquist (signed as a free agent in the offseason will get a chance to close, but will play a huge role whether it be in the bullpen, at closer, or in the rotation); Duke Myers (another injury plauged pitcher who missed part of last season with a sore elbow, the injury caused him to lose some of his overall projections and he will have to regain those projections to fulfill the promise he showed early in his minor league career which spawned the trade to the Two's)
Bullpen
The trio of Zephyr Johnson, Billy Ray Politte, and Cy Dillon are among the very best in the business. Somehow, someway, they get the job done, get guys out, and close out games.
Zephyr Johnson should be the closer of the future. He has ridiculous projected attributes and with his stamina could easily be a 2-inning closer. His problem is that he makes it interesting far too often. He rarely gets a 1-2-3 inning (although this Spring Training he has been much more dominant; a sign we hope carries over to the regular season), but also rarely allows runners to score. A typical inning consists of a walk, a hit or two, and 3 outs with zero runs. If he ever learns to keep guys off base his ceiling is unlimited.
Billy Ray, Billy Ray, Billy Ray!!! He hasnt officially been the closer in 3 seasons but still ranks 4th on the all-time saves list. He seems haunted by a blown save versus Portland in the season 4 NLDS. He has not been the same since that fateful night. If it is not a save situation he is as good as they come, but somehow he cant get his mind right to close games. A change of scenery could reignite his career as his attributes are borderline unhittable. He will still get a chance to close at some point, but his name has also been linked to numerous trade rumors this season and he could just as easily be closing for a different team at the end of the year.
With Cy Dillon, he saved 36 games in 41 chances in season 6 as the full-time closer. He saved another 15 last year but it was ultimately a bullpen by committee (something the Two's want to avoid this year at all costs). He will get a look as well at the end of games. His rating numbers are pedestrian compared to the other two, but somehow he finds a way to dominate hitters (and that is the bottom line). The offense in Sacramento is among the leagues best, but the pitching is its backbone. With a monster rotation and a solid bullpen, the Two's will continue to be amongst the leagues best even on nights where they themselves run into lights out pitching (which the NL is stock full of).
Prospects
We will update our prospects (the few we have) in the next post. Most of our prospects are now in the bigs but the Two's do have a handful of players that will one day take over positions in the show.
Overview
I won't make a prediction for my team because I dont want to sound like a homer, and besides, who wouldnt pick their own team to win it all? We are going to try to become the second team in the history of the NABCL to win back to back titles.
Strengths-If healthy, our offense is full of All-Stars who hit for power and average. They get on base and can play small ball. We can also get around the bases by stealing or the hit and run. The Two's have never scored 1000 runs in a season but have had over 950 three times, and even with all the injuries last year we still scored over 800.
Again, if healthy, the pitching staff should be outstanding. Last year Sacramento gave up only 602 runs which led the league. A potent offense and a stingy pitching staff usually lead to success. The Two's also have finished in the top 3 in defense (fewest errors) the last 3 years.
Weaknesses-Two rookies on offense being thrust into starting roles and one rookie pitcher on defense. The season wont necessarily hang in the balance with these 3, and they could become strengths, but at this point they are unknowns, what ifs at best. 3/5ths of the rotation over 35 years old, although Albert Boone pitches like his is 27. If it continues great, but it could be a disaster otherwise.
Overall the Sacramento Terrible Two's must be considered one of the early favorites to win the pennant and represent the NL in the World Series. But the NL is loaded with Chicago, Vancouver, Scranton, Seattle, Trenton, Kansas City, Memphis, New Orleans, San Antonio, Portland, Salem, and Colorado Springs, all proven teams or on the rise. Nothing will come easy in the Senior Circuit, and the winner will be much deserved.
Raley Field is SOLD OUT and ready to rock!!! The ceremony to hang the banner is set, and the rings have been designed, ordered, and delivered. Let's get it on. Bring on Season 8!!!
Colorado Springs Coyotes Look to Compete in the NL West
(AP) Colorado Springs - After seeing win totals of 74, 74, and 77 for the last 3 seasons, Colorado Springs management decided to start shaking things up towards the end of last season.
After aquiring veteran RHP A.J. McIntyre last year, the team turned around and dealt the pitcher in the off season to aquire more youth for the farm system. Getting Brian Ogawa and Evan Jackson in the deal allowed management to trade away last year's all star SS Sam Brock for young arms for the farm system. Ogawa will be the Coyotes Opening Day SS and looks to equal Brock in the field, while being much more consistent at the plate. With an eye rated at 96, good contact and well above avg splits against Lefties and righties, he looks to be a prototypical 2 hole hitter. The rest of the line up is coming down to the last days of Spring Training as the competition for roster spots has been fierce among the youthful spring squad.
Pitching has been this franchise's bugaboo the last several years. Management has not been able to bolster the rotation with any consistancy at the top. This year, they look to change that. Luke Nye has been getting stronger each season, and will be the Coyotes anchor for the rotation. The last few seasons have seen the team aquire some very promising young arms via trade or draft and they will look to these arms to start to produce this year. Albert Castilla broke into the bigs last year and with 11 starts under his belt and posting a 3.52 era he will find a spot in the bottom half of the rotation. Felipe Rosado has very promising stuff, and after his 2nd full ML season last year he looks like he has harnessed it and is eager to prove he deserves the No. 2 role on the team. Wiley veteran Reid Parker has been spectacular this spring. Not surprising, as he was a huge contributer last year after being inserted into the rotation and looks to have solidified a role there again this year. That leaves the team with the role of the No. 5 starter open and boy, do they have some tough decisions on who to put there. There is no shortage of capable arms on this roster to fill the bill - offseason Free agent aquisition Alex Wright comes over from division rival Sacramento where he helped the Two's march to 3 consecutive division crowns; Ron Brock another FA aquired this offseason - coming off a spectacular year last year that saw his ERA under 3; or young FA Julio Bonilla who the Coyotes paid a lot for in a gamble that he can reach his lofty projections; two others battling for the spot are Wilt Kraemer and Don Suzuki. That will leave the bullpen relief corps in good shape as some of the aforementioned will go back to AAA and wait their turn with the veterans filling in the long relief and spot start duties. Closer Homer Roberts will be closely monitored this season - saving 30 of 37 isn't so bad, but he needs to improve on the over 5 era he posted last season.
The offense should be able to hold it's own this year. Management hopes that it can produce against division rivals Sacramento and Portland, whose staffs have stymied the Coyote offense in seasons' past. There are some heated battles being waged for starting jobs this spring - here's how it is shaping up:
1. CF Vicente DeRojas
2. SS the aforementioned Ogawa
3. 3B young phenom Peter Masato
4. 1B Jason Liverman or Matt Meche
5. LF Aaron Guerrero or Meche
6. RF Dick Graham/still battling with a splendid spring Kevin Harper
7. 2B Andy Logan or Julio Silva
8. C J.T. Lewis or Banana Hurst
All in all, this team is young, hungry and looks to keep the division lead in it's sights, but has a goal of getting to the post season any way they can.
After aquiring veteran RHP A.J. McIntyre last year, the team turned around and dealt the pitcher in the off season to aquire more youth for the farm system. Getting Brian Ogawa and Evan Jackson in the deal allowed management to trade away last year's all star SS Sam Brock for young arms for the farm system. Ogawa will be the Coyotes Opening Day SS and looks to equal Brock in the field, while being much more consistent at the plate. With an eye rated at 96, good contact and well above avg splits against Lefties and righties, he looks to be a prototypical 2 hole hitter. The rest of the line up is coming down to the last days of Spring Training as the competition for roster spots has been fierce among the youthful spring squad.
Pitching has been this franchise's bugaboo the last several years. Management has not been able to bolster the rotation with any consistancy at the top. This year, they look to change that. Luke Nye has been getting stronger each season, and will be the Coyotes anchor for the rotation. The last few seasons have seen the team aquire some very promising young arms via trade or draft and they will look to these arms to start to produce this year. Albert Castilla broke into the bigs last year and with 11 starts under his belt and posting a 3.52 era he will find a spot in the bottom half of the rotation. Felipe Rosado has very promising stuff, and after his 2nd full ML season last year he looks like he has harnessed it and is eager to prove he deserves the No. 2 role on the team. Wiley veteran Reid Parker has been spectacular this spring. Not surprising, as he was a huge contributer last year after being inserted into the rotation and looks to have solidified a role there again this year. That leaves the team with the role of the No. 5 starter open and boy, do they have some tough decisions on who to put there. There is no shortage of capable arms on this roster to fill the bill - offseason Free agent aquisition Alex Wright comes over from division rival Sacramento where he helped the Two's march to 3 consecutive division crowns; Ron Brock another FA aquired this offseason - coming off a spectacular year last year that saw his ERA under 3; or young FA Julio Bonilla who the Coyotes paid a lot for in a gamble that he can reach his lofty projections; two others battling for the spot are Wilt Kraemer and Don Suzuki. That will leave the bullpen relief corps in good shape as some of the aforementioned will go back to AAA and wait their turn with the veterans filling in the long relief and spot start duties. Closer Homer Roberts will be closely monitored this season - saving 30 of 37 isn't so bad, but he needs to improve on the over 5 era he posted last season.
The offense should be able to hold it's own this year. Management hopes that it can produce against division rivals Sacramento and Portland, whose staffs have stymied the Coyote offense in seasons' past. There are some heated battles being waged for starting jobs this spring - here's how it is shaping up:
1. CF Vicente DeRojas
2. SS the aforementioned Ogawa
3. 3B young phenom Peter Masato
4. 1B Jason Liverman or Matt Meche
5. LF Aaron Guerrero or Meche
6. RF Dick Graham/still battling with a splendid spring Kevin Harper
7. 2B Andy Logan or Julio Silva
8. C J.T. Lewis or Banana Hurst
All in all, this team is young, hungry and looks to keep the division lead in it's sights, but has a goal of getting to the post season any way they can.
Philadelphia Dead Milkmen: The Outlook
Expectations are high in Philadelphia after a record-setting season that saw the Dead Milkmen pacing the league and setting a team record with 101 wins and taking possession of the AL pennant, ultimately falling short 1-4 to Sacramento in a heartbreaking World Series. Fans expect at least an equally successful campaign in S8; winning the series is the goal this year.
The AL North has been competitive nearly every season in the NABCL, so there will be no easy path back to the World Series. Pitching will be important for Philadelphia; the departure of Gordon Justice means that the Milkmen will have to get by without that strong 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Prospects will likely have to step up if Philadelphia is going to succeed.
There will be several career highlights for Philadelphia fans this season. Rafael Vidal is only two wins away from his 100th victory in Philadelphia. Shooter Farrell can set several milestones: 800 runs (61 to go), 1,000 RBI (59), and 400 HR (3 to go). Derrek Jensen 11 saves away from his 70th, and Jim Jenkins is just short of 200 doubles (11 to go).
Season 7 Recap
Major League (101-61), AL North Champions, AL Champions
All-Stars P Derrek Jensen, RF Walker Wilkins
AAA League (98-46), AL North Champions
All-Stars P Julio Rosado, P Brian Matthews, 3B Jacob Dunn
Silver Slugger 3B Jacob Dunn
Gold Glove LF Mark Kyung
AA League (92-52), AL Champions, World Series Champions
All-Stars P Shane DeHart, 1B Al Obermueller
Silver Slugger LF Clint O'Connor
Gold Glove P Neifi Vazquez
High A League (89-55), AL North Champions
All-Stars P Candy Titan, P Joe Oliver, LF Cesar Vidal
Cy Young P Candy Titan
Fireman of the Year P Joe Oliver
Low A League (82-62)
All-Star P Earl Lincoln
Fireman of the Year P Earl Lincoln
Rookie League (52-24), AL North Champions, AL Champions, World Series Champions
All-Stars P Julian Marquez, LF Fred Taft, RF Hughie Phillips
MVP RF Hughie Phillips
Newcomer of the Year RF Hughie Phillips
Silver Sluggers LF Fred Taft, RF Hughie Phillips
Gold Glove CF Lloyd Hart
The AL North has been competitive nearly every season in the NABCL, so there will be no easy path back to the World Series. Pitching will be important for Philadelphia; the departure of Gordon Justice means that the Milkmen will have to get by without that strong 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Prospects will likely have to step up if Philadelphia is going to succeed.
There will be several career highlights for Philadelphia fans this season. Rafael Vidal is only two wins away from his 100th victory in Philadelphia. Shooter Farrell can set several milestones: 800 runs (61 to go), 1,000 RBI (59), and 400 HR (3 to go). Derrek Jensen 11 saves away from his 70th, and Jim Jenkins is just short of 200 doubles (11 to go).
Season 7 Recap
Major League (101-61), AL North Champions, AL Champions
All-Stars P Derrek Jensen, RF Walker Wilkins
AAA League (98-46), AL North Champions
All-Stars P Julio Rosado, P Brian Matthews, 3B Jacob Dunn
Silver Slugger 3B Jacob Dunn
Gold Glove LF Mark Kyung
AA League (92-52), AL Champions, World Series Champions
All-Stars P Shane DeHart, 1B Al Obermueller
Silver Slugger LF Clint O'Connor
Gold Glove P Neifi Vazquez
High A League (89-55), AL North Champions
All-Stars P Candy Titan, P Joe Oliver, LF Cesar Vidal
Cy Young P Candy Titan
Fireman of the Year P Joe Oliver
Low A League (82-62)
All-Star P Earl Lincoln
Fireman of the Year P Earl Lincoln
Rookie League (52-24), AL North Champions, AL Champions, World Series Champions
All-Stars P Julian Marquez, LF Fred Taft, RF Hughie Phillips
MVP RF Hughie Phillips
Newcomer of the Year RF Hughie Phillips
Silver Sluggers LF Fred Taft, RF Hughie Phillips
Gold Glove CF Lloyd Hart
Have the Jaguars Lost Their Bite?
(Jacksonville Daily News) Fans in Jacksonville are wondering what's left, after last year's midseason trades of A.J. McIntyre and Tony Zurbaran, along with the free agent defections of Paul Yoshii and Graeme Fischbach, left them without three fifths of their rotation and the most productive hitter in franchise history. The preseason trade of Chad Broadhurst certainly didn't help to assuage any fears. While those players certainly can't be replaced, there may be reason to believe that management is simply reloading rather than rebuilding. Let's take a look at the impact of those losses, some new additions, and the overall impact on the ML squad and the Jackals franchise as a whole. This is the first of a three part series, where we'll go in-depth into the Jackal lineup, pitching staff, and future prospects.
The Lineup
Losing your three and four hole hitters in the same offseason is a tough pill to swallow - especially for a team that scored over 100 less runs than the season before. Management says they have a plan, but this reporter isn't sure he's ready to drink the Kool-Aid just yet. The starting lineup expects to shape out like this:
1) Sarma Conine (3B) - Many GMs in the league thought Jacksonville overpaid for the veteran, giving up three future ML impact players. Conine, however, proved management's faith in him was well placed, as he flourished hitting with the protection of Riley and Yoshii behind him.
2) Ray Riley (LF) - The face of the Jacksonville franchise since inception, all Riley does is score and drive in runs, hit for power, steal bases and play Gold Glove caliber defense.
3) Brian Martin (1B) - The Big Dog's arrival on the big squad is the single biggest reason the Jackals believe they can absorb the loss of Yoshii. Broadhurst was traded simply to make room for him, so they'd better be right. Big time.
4) Earl Maroth (CF) - Robbed in the Rookie of the Year voting last season, Maroth combines ridiculous power with surprisingly sneaky speed and rock-solid defense. Should be the centerpiece to a 3 man run in the order that produces 150 homers this season.
5) Geraldo Guardado (DH) - Straight ball he hit very much. Curve ball - bats are afraid. Look for him to hit 50-60 homers - 1 for every 4 points on his batting average.
6) Marty Beckett (RF) - Marty saw a surprising drop in power last season, but an equally surprising bump in batting average. If he doesn't want to lose his job next season to the youngster nipping at his heels, he'll need to find a way to give the best of both worlds.
7) Midre Martin (SS) - The biggest international signing in Jacksonville history, Midre won the first of what should be many Gold Gloves last season. The fact that the 25 year old has already put together a season with 30 homers and a .321 average is just icing on the cake.
8) Louis Romero v. L / Tori Elder v. R (C) - The switch hitting tandem won't replace Yoshii's offense, but should provide excellent pop while boosting the defense and pitch calling immeasurably.
9) Rodrigo Fernandez (2B) - Perhaps the only number 9 hitter in the league making over $8 million, Fernandez combines excellent defense with an uncanny knack for not only getting on base, but also crossing home plate.
The Bench
Joe Hume and Amp Reagan provide speed, defense and a decent bat off the bench. Flip Campbell has been the defensive replacement extraordinaire for his entire career.
The Bottom Line
While the losses of Yoshii and Broadhurst sting, this still looks to be a lineup that has the ability to beat opposing pitching into submission. Ungodly amounts of power, decent speed, and the ability to get on base all the way through the lineup. The defense is also stellar, but it better be - the pitching just ain't what it used to be.
(Next time - the pitching staff preview)
The Lineup
Losing your three and four hole hitters in the same offseason is a tough pill to swallow - especially for a team that scored over 100 less runs than the season before. Management says they have a plan, but this reporter isn't sure he's ready to drink the Kool-Aid just yet. The starting lineup expects to shape out like this:
1) Sarma Conine (3B) - Many GMs in the league thought Jacksonville overpaid for the veteran, giving up three future ML impact players. Conine, however, proved management's faith in him was well placed, as he flourished hitting with the protection of Riley and Yoshii behind him.
2) Ray Riley (LF) - The face of the Jacksonville franchise since inception, all Riley does is score and drive in runs, hit for power, steal bases and play Gold Glove caliber defense.
3) Brian Martin (1B) - The Big Dog's arrival on the big squad is the single biggest reason the Jackals believe they can absorb the loss of Yoshii. Broadhurst was traded simply to make room for him, so they'd better be right. Big time.
4) Earl Maroth (CF) - Robbed in the Rookie of the Year voting last season, Maroth combines ridiculous power with surprisingly sneaky speed and rock-solid defense. Should be the centerpiece to a 3 man run in the order that produces 150 homers this season.
5) Geraldo Guardado (DH) - Straight ball he hit very much. Curve ball - bats are afraid. Look for him to hit 50-60 homers - 1 for every 4 points on his batting average.
6) Marty Beckett (RF) - Marty saw a surprising drop in power last season, but an equally surprising bump in batting average. If he doesn't want to lose his job next season to the youngster nipping at his heels, he'll need to find a way to give the best of both worlds.
7) Midre Martin (SS) - The biggest international signing in Jacksonville history, Midre won the first of what should be many Gold Gloves last season. The fact that the 25 year old has already put together a season with 30 homers and a .321 average is just icing on the cake.
8) Louis Romero v. L / Tori Elder v. R (C) - The switch hitting tandem won't replace Yoshii's offense, but should provide excellent pop while boosting the defense and pitch calling immeasurably.
9) Rodrigo Fernandez (2B) - Perhaps the only number 9 hitter in the league making over $8 million, Fernandez combines excellent defense with an uncanny knack for not only getting on base, but also crossing home plate.
The Bench
Joe Hume and Amp Reagan provide speed, defense and a decent bat off the bench. Flip Campbell has been the defensive replacement extraordinaire for his entire career.
The Bottom Line
While the losses of Yoshii and Broadhurst sting, this still looks to be a lineup that has the ability to beat opposing pitching into submission. Ungodly amounts of power, decent speed, and the ability to get on base all the way through the lineup. The defense is also stellar, but it better be - the pitching just ain't what it used to be.
(Next time - the pitching staff preview)
Philadelphia Dead Milkmen: The Prospects
Pitching Prospects
In recent years, Milkmen drafting has focused heavily on young arms. Many of these players are approaching the majors, and Philadelphia should see an abundance of pitching talent in the near future. There's not much of a talent gap separating the top prospects in the system, and any one could end up as the most productive major leaguer.
5. LHP Curtis Brennan, 20, AA (30 G, 154 IP, 11-4, 1.10, 2.63) Brennan, a first round pick from S6, will rely on his deep repertoire of effective pitches to fool hitters. His 4-seam, curve, and splitter project as excellent pitches, and he has a decent change. He's made solid strides so far, and should be in the mix for a rotation spot in 2-3 years.
4. RHP Louis "Bull" Durham, 23, AAA (28 G, 179 IP, 12-7, 1.24, 4.27) A Cy Young winner and All-Star in S6, Durham is already nearly ready for the majors. A little more improvement on his fastball and curve are all that keeps him from a roster spot this season; he'll be in Philadelphia by S9 at the latest.
3. RHP Earl "Honest Abe" Lincoln, 20, AA (43 G, 42 IP, 34/38 SV, 1.05, 3.43 at LoA) Scouts are very high on this relief ace, and management responded to his consecutive Fireman of the Year awards by moving him straight to AA. Opinions differ on whether he has the stuff to be a closer or merely a setup man, but he's likely to play a major role in Philadelphia as early as next season as long as his control continues to improve.
2. LHP Candy "Sugar Sugar" Titan, 21, AA (30 G, 220 IP, 18-4, 1.34, 3.96 at HiA) Titan, 16th overall pick in S5, may profile more as a mid-rotation pitcher than an ace, although he picked up a Cy Young award and All-Star spot last season. Great control, superb velocity, and the durability to go the distance any time out will earn him a spot in the majors soon, probably in 2 years.
1. RHP Del Valentin, 20, HiA (22 G, 57 IP, 1.35, 3.47 at RL) The S6 first round pick was overlooked by some and spent two years in the rookie leagues, but scouts now think he may be the top-ceiling pitcher in Philadelphia's system. Showing steady improvement, Valentin projects as a legitimate ace as long as his endurance keeps pace with his stuff; so far he's only started 9 games. He'll likely see a promotion to AA this season, and could pitch in the majors by next year if all goes well.
Position Prospects
Philadelphia has focused on pitching rather than offense in recent drafts, as the team is fairly well-stocked with quality players at the major league level. With the recent graduation of players like starting shortstop Benito Sosa, second baseman Everett Griffiths, and right fielder Walker Wilkins, much of the Milkmen lineup is fairly well-set for the coming seasons. Currently, there are only a few high-ceiling prospects. Most of the minor leaguers of note profile as role players, but with some luck they could end up as contributing starters.
5. DH Charles "Gator" Ransom, 23, AAA (500 AB, .288/.390/.640, 51 HR, 165 RBI, 114 RS at AA/AAA) A very late 17th-round selection in S3, Ransom doesn't do much well other than hit home runs. Fortunately, he hits a lot of them (205 HR in 534 games)--endearing himself to fans during his rise through the system. He's almost certain to see the majors in S8 as a pinch-hitter against RHP, and Philadelphia could be a favorable park for his power/patience game; scouts point to the success of current home run king Shooter Farrell as evidence.
4. RF Kurt Benjamin, 21, AA (480, .313/.409/.546, 19, 122, 93 at HiA) Benjamin, a 3rd round pick in S5, has shown solid improvement as a hitter, particularly against lefties, and has a strong and accurate arm, if a suspect glove. He could be a reserve outfielder in Philadelphia as early as next season, with his skill against LHP coming in handy off the bench.
3. 2B Ivan "The Terrible" James, 20, LoA (304, .378/.504/.520, 8, 56, 105 at RL) A Venezuelan international signing in S6, James is second baseman with excellent range who also profiles as a very good baserunner. However, his bat may be insufficient to play in the majors--maintaining his OBP skills will be key. He's been compared to Philadelphia's current speedy, light-hitting 2B Everett Griffiths, and scouts hope he could fill a similar role in some 3 years.
2. 2B Trenidad Estrada, 19, HiA (373, .343/.451/.584, 19, 89, 97 at LoA) An international free agent from Nicaragua, management considered the $2.8M bonus they paid a bargain for this prospect. While Estrada doesn't profile as an outstanding hitter, coaches love his balance of contact, power, and patience. Despite being a year younger than competing 2B prospect Ivan James, he's been placed a level above him. Estrada's glove isn't great for second, but he could possibly play in the corner outfield as well. He's at least 3 years from the majors.
1. RF Hughie "The Nor'easter" Phillips, 20, HiA (293, .427/.516/.816, 24, 116, 109 at RL) The 16th overall pick in S7, Philips posted videogame-like numbers for Philadelphia's Rookie league champions and swept the league's awards, winning the MVP, Rookie of the Year, and Silver Slugger and getting an All-Star nod. He also helped slug the team to the RL championship with a .321/.390/.585 postseason line, scoring 12 runs and driving in 19 in only 13 games. With excellent power and speed potential, he'll head straight to advanced A ball and could make his major league debut in 2 to 3 years.
In recent years, Milkmen drafting has focused heavily on young arms. Many of these players are approaching the majors, and Philadelphia should see an abundance of pitching talent in the near future. There's not much of a talent gap separating the top prospects in the system, and any one could end up as the most productive major leaguer.
5. LHP Curtis Brennan, 20, AA (30 G, 154 IP, 11-4, 1.10, 2.63) Brennan, a first round pick from S6, will rely on his deep repertoire of effective pitches to fool hitters. His 4-seam, curve, and splitter project as excellent pitches, and he has a decent change. He's made solid strides so far, and should be in the mix for a rotation spot in 2-3 years.
4. RHP Louis "Bull" Durham, 23, AAA (28 G, 179 IP, 12-7, 1.24, 4.27) A Cy Young winner and All-Star in S6, Durham is already nearly ready for the majors. A little more improvement on his fastball and curve are all that keeps him from a roster spot this season; he'll be in Philadelphia by S9 at the latest.
3. RHP Earl "Honest Abe" Lincoln, 20, AA (43 G, 42 IP, 34/38 SV, 1.05, 3.43 at LoA) Scouts are very high on this relief ace, and management responded to his consecutive Fireman of the Year awards by moving him straight to AA. Opinions differ on whether he has the stuff to be a closer or merely a setup man, but he's likely to play a major role in Philadelphia as early as next season as long as his control continues to improve.
2. LHP Candy "Sugar Sugar" Titan, 21, AA (30 G, 220 IP, 18-4, 1.34, 3.96 at HiA) Titan, 16th overall pick in S5, may profile more as a mid-rotation pitcher than an ace, although he picked up a Cy Young award and All-Star spot last season. Great control, superb velocity, and the durability to go the distance any time out will earn him a spot in the majors soon, probably in 2 years.
1. RHP Del Valentin, 20, HiA (22 G, 57 IP, 1.35, 3.47 at RL) The S6 first round pick was overlooked by some and spent two years in the rookie leagues, but scouts now think he may be the top-ceiling pitcher in Philadelphia's system. Showing steady improvement, Valentin projects as a legitimate ace as long as his endurance keeps pace with his stuff; so far he's only started 9 games. He'll likely see a promotion to AA this season, and could pitch in the majors by next year if all goes well.
Position Prospects
Philadelphia has focused on pitching rather than offense in recent drafts, as the team is fairly well-stocked with quality players at the major league level. With the recent graduation of players like starting shortstop Benito Sosa, second baseman Everett Griffiths, and right fielder Walker Wilkins, much of the Milkmen lineup is fairly well-set for the coming seasons. Currently, there are only a few high-ceiling prospects. Most of the minor leaguers of note profile as role players, but with some luck they could end up as contributing starters.
5. DH Charles "Gator" Ransom, 23, AAA (500 AB, .288/.390/.640, 51 HR, 165 RBI, 114 RS at AA/AAA) A very late 17th-round selection in S3, Ransom doesn't do much well other than hit home runs. Fortunately, he hits a lot of them (205 HR in 534 games)--endearing himself to fans during his rise through the system. He's almost certain to see the majors in S8 as a pinch-hitter against RHP, and Philadelphia could be a favorable park for his power/patience game; scouts point to the success of current home run king Shooter Farrell as evidence.
4. RF Kurt Benjamin, 21, AA (480, .313/.409/.546, 19, 122, 93 at HiA) Benjamin, a 3rd round pick in S5, has shown solid improvement as a hitter, particularly against lefties, and has a strong and accurate arm, if a suspect glove. He could be a reserve outfielder in Philadelphia as early as next season, with his skill against LHP coming in handy off the bench.
3. 2B Ivan "The Terrible" James, 20, LoA (304, .378/.504/.520, 8, 56, 105 at RL) A Venezuelan international signing in S6, James is second baseman with excellent range who also profiles as a very good baserunner. However, his bat may be insufficient to play in the majors--maintaining his OBP skills will be key. He's been compared to Philadelphia's current speedy, light-hitting 2B Everett Griffiths, and scouts hope he could fill a similar role in some 3 years.
2. 2B Trenidad Estrada, 19, HiA (373, .343/.451/.584, 19, 89, 97 at LoA) An international free agent from Nicaragua, management considered the $2.8M bonus they paid a bargain for this prospect. While Estrada doesn't profile as an outstanding hitter, coaches love his balance of contact, power, and patience. Despite being a year younger than competing 2B prospect Ivan James, he's been placed a level above him. Estrada's glove isn't great for second, but he could possibly play in the corner outfield as well. He's at least 3 years from the majors.
1. RF Hughie "The Nor'easter" Phillips, 20, HiA (293, .427/.516/.816, 24, 116, 109 at RL) The 16th overall pick in S7, Philips posted videogame-like numbers for Philadelphia's Rookie league champions and swept the league's awards, winning the MVP, Rookie of the Year, and Silver Slugger and getting an All-Star nod. He also helped slug the team to the RL championship with a .321/.390/.585 postseason line, scoring 12 runs and driving in 19 in only 13 games. With excellent power and speed potential, he'll head straight to advanced A ball and could make his major league debut in 2 to 3 years.
Philadelphia Dead Milkmen: The Pitching
Philadelphia's rotation took a big loss when longtime Milkman Gordon Justice (15-5, 160 IP, 1.09 WHIP, 3.04 ERA) left after posting an excellent season. Management was unwilling to commit to more than one year with the relatively fragile 37-year-old, who quickly signed with Louisville. Justice started 217 games in Philadelphia with a 92-67 record, 29 complete games, and a 3.86 ERA. Milkmen fans were disappointed to see the still very popular pitcher go down with a season-ending shoulder injury before spring training was even over; the "Texas Tornado" will be missed back in Philly.
With the departure of Justice, veteran southpaw Rafael "El Cruzan" Vidal (19-8, 216 IP, 1.14 WHIP, 3.67 ERA) takes over as the team's undisputed ace. The durable Vidal has made 33 starts and pitched at least 215 innings in three consecutive seasons, and remains in peak condition even at the age of 40. Vidal is two victories away from becoming Philadelphia's first 100-game winner and currently owns the second-best WHIP in NABCL history. Following Vidal is second-year Milkman and fellow lefty Haywood Jodie (15-12, 204, 1.35, 4.98). A serious injury in S6 derailed a promising start to Jodie's career, but he returned with a solid campaign in S7 and looks to build on that this season.
After Vidal and Jodie, Philadelphia's rotation is less set in stone. Ronald Cota (13-9, 198, 1.47, 4.71), in his third season in the majors, is more a durable workhorse than a dominant starter. He was able to recover from a 7-16 rookie season that left some observers doubtful of his ability, with only pedestrian command and velocity. The surprising Jamie "Okie" Hunter (8-9, 139, 1.33, 3.87) earned his way back into the rotation last season after losing his spot following an ugly (1.60 WHIP, 6.00 ERA) S6, and will likely start the year in the rotation. Coaches like Hunter's as a solid 4th starter, although he hasn't yet shown the consistency they expect.
For the fifth spot, a longshot is 22-year-old rookie phenom Julio Rosado (18-4, 180, 1.13, 2.94 at AAA), S4's high profile international free agent signing from Venezuela. He tore through the minors, succeeding both in relief and in the rotation (151 G, 68 GS, 50-14, 1.20, 2.99). Rosado's durability over 30+ starts is questionable but his talent is not; if he doesn't start, he'll take on a key role in the bullpen. William "Big Bill" Simpson (1-2, 47, 1.62, 6.80; 8-3, 91, 1.35, 3.94 at AAA) could be another workhorse but won't dazzle hitters. Coaches like his repertoire of pitches and think he may be able to step in if Cota or Hunter can't continue to be effective.
If these pitchers fall short, the AAA team has several candidates eager for a shot at the majors. Rafael Moreno (2-4, 46, 1.79, 7.58; 3-0, 26, 0.96, 0.69) found himself demoted to AAA a season after providing a big boost with 160 innings at a solid 3.99 ERA. Moreno, who suffered a debilitating injury in S4, has mastered the minors but is a fringe major leaguer. Geraldo Nunez (14-5, 166, 1.15, 3.29 at AAA) has yet to pitch in the majors but could debut this year. Two dark horse candidates are Shane "Total Eclipse" DeHart (10-1, 7/7 SV, 129, 1.09, 1.81) and Louis "Bull" Durham (12-7, 179, 1.24, 4.27), both first-round supplemental draft picks in S5. The lefty DeHart and righty Durham have yet to pitch above AA and are not even on the 40-man roster yet, but should be capable of holding their own in the majors if necessary.
The bullpen is anchored by Derrek Jensen (40/43 SV, 48, 0.87, 1.49), who recovered from his astonishingly bad S6 debut in Philadelphia (19/29 SV, 38, 1.87, 8.76), which saw early support from the Philadelphia faithful turn to constant jeers. The resilient Jensen came back in dominant form, however, and was rewarded with an All-Star nod and a midseason extension. He has returned for S8 in what scouts call the best shape of his career, and his already stellar curveball looks nearly unhittable early on. Rubber-armed reliever Billy "Ol' Reliable" Robinson (70 G, 114, 1.20, 3.38), who pitched nearly 250 innings in 156 games during his initial 2-year contract in Philadelphia, was expected to depart to free agency, hopefully netting Philadelphia a Type A compensation pick. But with Robinson still unsigned as spring training approached, management was able to convince him to return, despite a pay cut. Robinson and his lefty counterpart Bret "Action" Jackson (63 G, 105, 1.15, 3.58) were called on often in S7, and will have similar key roles this year.
For the rest of the bullpen, Philadelphia will turn to an assortment of vets and youngsters. Vic Jimenez (22 G, 18, 1.15, 2.95; 34 G, 35, 1.09, 1.29 at AAA) made an impressive debut but should see relatively limited exposure. Tommy Brocail (28 G, 25, 1.52, 6.84; 11 G, 14, 1.16, 4.30) struggled and was demoted last season, but responded well to the challenge and should see better results in S8. Rule 5 pick Tom Glanville (16 G, 31, 1.32, 4.65) made a solid jump from AA to the majors, but was sidelined with a neck injury for a long stretch. The last pen spot will likely go to Rosado or Simpson, barring a spring training surprise.
With the departure of Justice, veteran southpaw Rafael "El Cruzan" Vidal (19-8, 216 IP, 1.14 WHIP, 3.67 ERA) takes over as the team's undisputed ace. The durable Vidal has made 33 starts and pitched at least 215 innings in three consecutive seasons, and remains in peak condition even at the age of 40. Vidal is two victories away from becoming Philadelphia's first 100-game winner and currently owns the second-best WHIP in NABCL history. Following Vidal is second-year Milkman and fellow lefty Haywood Jodie (15-12, 204, 1.35, 4.98). A serious injury in S6 derailed a promising start to Jodie's career, but he returned with a solid campaign in S7 and looks to build on that this season.
After Vidal and Jodie, Philadelphia's rotation is less set in stone. Ronald Cota (13-9, 198, 1.47, 4.71), in his third season in the majors, is more a durable workhorse than a dominant starter. He was able to recover from a 7-16 rookie season that left some observers doubtful of his ability, with only pedestrian command and velocity. The surprising Jamie "Okie" Hunter (8-9, 139, 1.33, 3.87) earned his way back into the rotation last season after losing his spot following an ugly (1.60 WHIP, 6.00 ERA) S6, and will likely start the year in the rotation. Coaches like Hunter's as a solid 4th starter, although he hasn't yet shown the consistency they expect.
For the fifth spot, a longshot is 22-year-old rookie phenom Julio Rosado (18-4, 180, 1.13, 2.94 at AAA), S4's high profile international free agent signing from Venezuela. He tore through the minors, succeeding both in relief and in the rotation (151 G, 68 GS, 50-14, 1.20, 2.99). Rosado's durability over 30+ starts is questionable but his talent is not; if he doesn't start, he'll take on a key role in the bullpen. William "Big Bill" Simpson (1-2, 47, 1.62, 6.80; 8-3, 91, 1.35, 3.94 at AAA) could be another workhorse but won't dazzle hitters. Coaches like his repertoire of pitches and think he may be able to step in if Cota or Hunter can't continue to be effective.
If these pitchers fall short, the AAA team has several candidates eager for a shot at the majors. Rafael Moreno (2-4, 46, 1.79, 7.58; 3-0, 26, 0.96, 0.69) found himself demoted to AAA a season after providing a big boost with 160 innings at a solid 3.99 ERA. Moreno, who suffered a debilitating injury in S4, has mastered the minors but is a fringe major leaguer. Geraldo Nunez (14-5, 166, 1.15, 3.29 at AAA) has yet to pitch in the majors but could debut this year. Two dark horse candidates are Shane "Total Eclipse" DeHart (10-1, 7/7 SV, 129, 1.09, 1.81) and Louis "Bull" Durham (12-7, 179, 1.24, 4.27), both first-round supplemental draft picks in S5. The lefty DeHart and righty Durham have yet to pitch above AA and are not even on the 40-man roster yet, but should be capable of holding their own in the majors if necessary.
The bullpen is anchored by Derrek Jensen (40/43 SV, 48, 0.87, 1.49), who recovered from his astonishingly bad S6 debut in Philadelphia (19/29 SV, 38, 1.87, 8.76), which saw early support from the Philadelphia faithful turn to constant jeers. The resilient Jensen came back in dominant form, however, and was rewarded with an All-Star nod and a midseason extension. He has returned for S8 in what scouts call the best shape of his career, and his already stellar curveball looks nearly unhittable early on. Rubber-armed reliever Billy "Ol' Reliable" Robinson (70 G, 114, 1.20, 3.38), who pitched nearly 250 innings in 156 games during his initial 2-year contract in Philadelphia, was expected to depart to free agency, hopefully netting Philadelphia a Type A compensation pick. But with Robinson still unsigned as spring training approached, management was able to convince him to return, despite a pay cut. Robinson and his lefty counterpart Bret "Action" Jackson (63 G, 105, 1.15, 3.58) were called on often in S7, and will have similar key roles this year.
For the rest of the bullpen, Philadelphia will turn to an assortment of vets and youngsters. Vic Jimenez (22 G, 18, 1.15, 2.95; 34 G, 35, 1.09, 1.29 at AAA) made an impressive debut but should see relatively limited exposure. Tommy Brocail (28 G, 25, 1.52, 6.84; 11 G, 14, 1.16, 4.30) struggled and was demoted last season, but responded well to the challenge and should see better results in S8. Rule 5 pick Tom Glanville (16 G, 31, 1.32, 4.65) made a solid jump from AA to the majors, but was sidelined with a neck injury for a long stretch. The last pen spot will likely go to Rosado or Simpson, barring a spring training surprise.
Philadelphia Dead Milkmen: The Lineup
Much of last season's potent Milkmen lineup will return intact. Only two positions will see any real change from S7 to S8: third base (with the addition of a young rising star from AAA hopefully adding some consistency) and DH (with the arrival of a major free-agent acquisition hopefully improving an area of some weakness).
Leading off will be veteran CF Bobby Ellis (.289/.350/.380/12 HR/60 RBI/105 RS) in his second year with the Milkmen. The slick-fielding Ellis made only one error in S7. Ellis doesn't have great power, although he set a career mark with 12 HR last season. His OBP (.352 career) and baserunning skills (101 career SB, although none since coming to the more conservatively managed Milkmen) are valuable.
Hitting second and manning right field is Walker "Dubs" Wilkins (.343/.413/.563/28 HR/99 RBI/108 RS), who managed to stay healthy for a full season after losing most of S6 to injury. Wilkins was named to the AL All-Star team and was an MVP finalist; his well-rounded combination of speed, contact, and OBP make him one of the most critical players to the lineup. His power could easily play lower, but as a table setter for the sluggers he fits best in the 2-spot. Managers will keep Wilkins well-rested to avoid a season-ending injury like the one that helped knock the Milkmen out of contention in S6.
Third in the lineup is major free agent acquisition Homer Buddie (.274/.371/.496/22 HR/62 RBI), formerly of the Salem Timberhawks. With Buddie, the Milkmen look to add more power from the DH spot than the recently demoted Sherm Anderson could provide (.280/.343/.455/18 HR/67 RBI). Buddie hits lefties particularly well, a weakness in Philadelphia's lineup, and his bat should play at Citizens Bank. The Milkmen struggled last season to find consistency in the 3/4 part of the lineup, with Jenkins' reduced power making him a poor fit for his traditional role. The power-hitting Buddie should fix that problem.
Following Buddie in the cleanup spot will be catcher Rolando Belliard (.317/.369/.635/38 HR/102 RBI), whose career season helped propel Philadelphia to the playoffs. Despite recording only 458 AB, Belliard ranked second on the team in HR and third in RBI. Splitting time with Belliard will be Sean Thomson (.227/.318/.419/12 HR/36 RBI). Although Thomson struggled last year, he is still an strong hitter with a career .837 OPS. Belliard will probably see most starts, with Thomson spotting him for rest or against tough RHP.
All-time NABCL home run champ and 32-year-old veteran 1B Shooter Farrell (.260/.349/.550/49 HR/147 RBI) will hit fifth once more this year. Although S7 broke Farrell's streak of three seasons with more than 60 HR and five seasons with more than 50, he still led the team in HR and RBI. Farrell can't flash as much power as he has in the past, but he's still a threat in the deep Milkmen lineup. This season will see Philadelphia favorite Farrell in an exciting race to 1,000 career RBI, as three players should compete to reach that milestone first this year. Current leader Happy Henley (951 RBI), now with Wichita, doesn't appear to have enough left in the tank to hold off Farrell (941) or Scranton's Craig Hooper (940), who are neck-and-neck, but the race looks like a close one.
Hitting sixth after Farrell is another longtime Milkman: LF "Diamond" Jim Jenkins (.282/.359/.481/31 HR/110 RBI/114 RS). Jenkins, now 33, has also declined as a power threat from his peak and will hit in the second half of the lineup for the first time in his career. However, the Milkmen like his veteran presence, and even a less intimidating Jenkins is still a potent hitter low in the lineup.
Lanky rookie 3B Jacob Dunn (.271/.361/.527/32 HR/136 RBI/120 RS at AAA) followed up a AAA All-Star nod and Silver Slugger award with a successful debut during the major league playoffs. Dunn will likely split time with the inconsistent Bernie "Short Stuff" Uribe (.226/.291/.363/13 HR/60 RBI), rumored to be on the trade block after his disappointing S7. Managers hope that sending up Dunn against most RHP and Uribe against LHP will help the rookie adjust to the majors and the unsteady vet gain some traction.
Shortstop Benito "Il Duce" Sosa (.225/.278/.411/31 HR/91 RBI), newly rewarded with a 3-year, $22M contract, will hit eighth. Despite his disappointing S7, Sosa became the most highly-paid Milkman for S8 for his defensive skills (fielding percentage improving every year, including a .992 rate in S7) and strong offensive performance in S5-6 (averaging 46 HR and 112 RBI). Sosa was also one of Philadelphia's postseason stars, hitting .417/.500/.750 with 4 HR and 18 RBI in 14 games. With his great power, Sosa could easily hit higher in the lineup if he returns to the form that he showed in earlier seasons, but he'll still have ample RBI chances hitting 8th with Philadelphia's deep lineup.
Finishing up the lineup is late-blooming 2B "Everyday" Everett Griffiths (.277/.330/.364/35-40 SB/65 RBI/82 RS). Griffiths couldn't duplicate his breakout S7 numbers, but his stolen bases make him an effective secondary leadoff man at the bottom of the lineup and he provides a solid defensive presence at second base. It's rumored that Philadelphia is already looking for a replacement for Griffiths for next season in case he loses a step, but there's no real internal solution ready immediately (the top 2B prospects look to be at least three years away).
The time-sharing at third and catcher should strengthen Philadelphia's bench, providing at least two strong pinch-hitting options off the bench in Belliard or Thomson and Dunn or Uribe. Former Rule 5 pick Victor Costilla (.193/.297/.367/7 HR/18 RBI/28 RS) struggled last season after an impressive debut (.766 OPS/23 HR/124 RS), but makes a solid fourth outfielder with good defense and speed and a good enough bat. For defensive purposes, Carlos Bennett (.183/.288/.183) can play anywhere short of catcher, but isn't making the team for his hitting skills.
Leading off will be veteran CF Bobby Ellis (.289/.350/.380/12 HR/60 RBI/105 RS) in his second year with the Milkmen. The slick-fielding Ellis made only one error in S7. Ellis doesn't have great power, although he set a career mark with 12 HR last season. His OBP (.352 career) and baserunning skills (101 career SB, although none since coming to the more conservatively managed Milkmen) are valuable.
Hitting second and manning right field is Walker "Dubs" Wilkins (.343/.413/.563/28 HR/99 RBI/108 RS), who managed to stay healthy for a full season after losing most of S6 to injury. Wilkins was named to the AL All-Star team and was an MVP finalist; his well-rounded combination of speed, contact, and OBP make him one of the most critical players to the lineup. His power could easily play lower, but as a table setter for the sluggers he fits best in the 2-spot. Managers will keep Wilkins well-rested to avoid a season-ending injury like the one that helped knock the Milkmen out of contention in S6.
Third in the lineup is major free agent acquisition Homer Buddie (.274/.371/.496/22 HR/62 RBI), formerly of the Salem Timberhawks. With Buddie, the Milkmen look to add more power from the DH spot than the recently demoted Sherm Anderson could provide (.280/.343/.455/18 HR/67 RBI). Buddie hits lefties particularly well, a weakness in Philadelphia's lineup, and his bat should play at Citizens Bank. The Milkmen struggled last season to find consistency in the 3/4 part of the lineup, with Jenkins' reduced power making him a poor fit for his traditional role. The power-hitting Buddie should fix that problem.
Following Buddie in the cleanup spot will be catcher Rolando Belliard (.317/.369/.635/38 HR/102 RBI), whose career season helped propel Philadelphia to the playoffs. Despite recording only 458 AB, Belliard ranked second on the team in HR and third in RBI. Splitting time with Belliard will be Sean Thomson (.227/.318/.419/12 HR/36 RBI). Although Thomson struggled last year, he is still an strong hitter with a career .837 OPS. Belliard will probably see most starts, with Thomson spotting him for rest or against tough RHP.
All-time NABCL home run champ and 32-year-old veteran 1B Shooter Farrell (.260/.349/.550/49 HR/147 RBI) will hit fifth once more this year. Although S7 broke Farrell's streak of three seasons with more than 60 HR and five seasons with more than 50, he still led the team in HR and RBI. Farrell can't flash as much power as he has in the past, but he's still a threat in the deep Milkmen lineup. This season will see Philadelphia favorite Farrell in an exciting race to 1,000 career RBI, as three players should compete to reach that milestone first this year. Current leader Happy Henley (951 RBI), now with Wichita, doesn't appear to have enough left in the tank to hold off Farrell (941) or Scranton's Craig Hooper (940), who are neck-and-neck, but the race looks like a close one.
Hitting sixth after Farrell is another longtime Milkman: LF "Diamond" Jim Jenkins (.282/.359/.481/31 HR/110 RBI/114 RS). Jenkins, now 33, has also declined as a power threat from his peak and will hit in the second half of the lineup for the first time in his career. However, the Milkmen like his veteran presence, and even a less intimidating Jenkins is still a potent hitter low in the lineup.
Lanky rookie 3B Jacob Dunn (.271/.361/.527/32 HR/136 RBI/120 RS at AAA) followed up a AAA All-Star nod and Silver Slugger award with a successful debut during the major league playoffs. Dunn will likely split time with the inconsistent Bernie "Short Stuff" Uribe (.226/.291/.363/13 HR/60 RBI), rumored to be on the trade block after his disappointing S7. Managers hope that sending up Dunn against most RHP and Uribe against LHP will help the rookie adjust to the majors and the unsteady vet gain some traction.
Shortstop Benito "Il Duce" Sosa (.225/.278/.411/31 HR/91 RBI), newly rewarded with a 3-year, $22M contract, will hit eighth. Despite his disappointing S7, Sosa became the most highly-paid Milkman for S8 for his defensive skills (fielding percentage improving every year, including a .992 rate in S7) and strong offensive performance in S5-6 (averaging 46 HR and 112 RBI). Sosa was also one of Philadelphia's postseason stars, hitting .417/.500/.750 with 4 HR and 18 RBI in 14 games. With his great power, Sosa could easily hit higher in the lineup if he returns to the form that he showed in earlier seasons, but he'll still have ample RBI chances hitting 8th with Philadelphia's deep lineup.
Finishing up the lineup is late-blooming 2B "Everyday" Everett Griffiths (.277/.330/.364/35-40 SB/65 RBI/82 RS). Griffiths couldn't duplicate his breakout S7 numbers, but his stolen bases make him an effective secondary leadoff man at the bottom of the lineup and he provides a solid defensive presence at second base. It's rumored that Philadelphia is already looking for a replacement for Griffiths for next season in case he loses a step, but there's no real internal solution ready immediately (the top 2B prospects look to be at least three years away).
The time-sharing at third and catcher should strengthen Philadelphia's bench, providing at least two strong pinch-hitting options off the bench in Belliard or Thomson and Dunn or Uribe. Former Rule 5 pick Victor Costilla (.193/.297/.367/7 HR/18 RBI/28 RS) struggled last season after an impressive debut (.766 OPS/23 HR/124 RS), but makes a solid fourth outfielder with good defense and speed and a good enough bat. For defensive purposes, Carlos Bennett (.183/.288/.183) can play anywhere short of catcher, but isn't making the team for his hitting skills.
Monday, March 10, 2008
Crawdads Season Preview
Crawdads may finding themselves taking one step back before they take two steps forward. They allowed a number of free agents, such as Evan Oquist and Ken Small go to make room for some of the younger pitchers coming up. With youth usually comes inconsistency. So below is the Crawdads season in review for number 8.
1B - One of the premiere players in the league, Felipe Tarasco started as a left fielder but moved to first base for defensive reasons. He won the gold glove at the position in season 7 and was voted MVP for the All Star game and just missed out on the MVP of the seaons. He finished with .306, 53, 134 and at 29 years of age is in the prime of his career. Since making the majors in season 3, his lowest homerun total is 44.
2B - Last year was Grover Grimsley's rookie year and he struggled, finishing with numbers of .234, 19, 50 with 50 stolen bases. For a .336 minor league hitter he should only improve. Grover will again be batting leadoff.
SS - There are not many shortstops who can hit for the power of Freddy Kwon (78), have success versus righthanded pitching (94) and field his position well (88,83,96,86). He does have problems making contact (31/121 K's) but at 25 he only has room for improvement. His numbers would be acceptable for 29 other teams at the SS position (.245, 27, 82) .
3B - Will be a platoon with Wayne Ryan, who has light tower power (98/33 HRs) and veteran Richard Carson, who is on the downside of his career. The Crawdads have 4 players in AA or higher who are ready to take over this position in the long term.
C - Greg Wright has the offensive numbers (.295, 1, 33) while Rafael Samuel has the defensive prowess, but provides some offensive wallop (.265, 13, 32). Considering that Rafael only played against lefthanders, and not all of them, those HR numbers are impressive. Gregg Wright hopes to improve on his offensive numbers (.316 career average) if he wants to stay in the starting lineup.
LF - There is no one on the team with a grittier, tough as nails personality as Edgar Lecuona. He finished at .270, 36, 103, which is comprable to the numbers he put up last year, which was his first complete year for the Crawdads.
CF - The Crawdads are going to give Wascar Tabaka one more year in AAA before handing him the position, so until then it will be a platoon of Nolan Steele (.277, 23, 76) and Aaron Prinz, who will get his first taste of major league action. Aaron is a career .296 hitter in the minor leagues, but provides excellent speed at the top of the order.
RF - Gary Quinn is another rookie waiting to make a name for himself. Only Wayne Ryan can hit the ball farther. Gary hit 4 homeruns in 56 at bats in his September callup last year.
SP - Livan Flores can pitch with the best of them, winning a Cy Young in season 4. He eats up innings like no other pitcher (223 to 261 innings in his 7 seasons) and is the anchor of the staff. He finished 17-7, with a 3.50 ERA in his best season since season 4. Rookie Albert Nunez hope to be Livan light. He's averaged close to 200 innings in his 4 minor league seasons and has a career ERA of 3.74. Horacio Lugo made the AAA All Star team last year and in his brief call up with the Crawdads finished 3-1, 3.54 in his 8 starts. The starting staff is rounded out by Ramon Kim (10-6, 4.53) and Terrence Buchanan (4-8, 4.77).
RP - The Crawdads really have not found a stopper, but Socks Bryant saves games (31, 138 for his career) but he also blows saves. His 89 appearances led the Crawdads, but his 4.34 has to be reduced to be an effective stopper. Arthur Bonham (3-11, 10 saves, 5.05) made the All Star team in seasons 5 and 6, but fell out of favor with the manager after one too many explosive innings. The bullpen is rounded out by Wally Delesandro (4.34, 42 gms), Buddy Minor (must improve on that 5.93 ERA), rookie Clay Rhodes (0.00 ERA in 7 appearances) and veteran Artie Roberts (3.10 in 62 appearances)
So scoring runs shouldn't be a problem for this bunch. Getting pitching, without having to rush a minor league prospect is the goal.
Top prospects in the minors that are surefire major leaguers include:
Felix Bailes (LHP)
Estaban Marquez (RHP)
Barry Philipps (RHP)
Wascar Tabaka (CF)
Chad Webster (SS)
Terry Brooks (3B)
Mariano Gutierrez (closer)
Clarence Hunter (RF)
Olmedo Lee (LHP)
Miguel Liriano (set-up)
Jason Newfield (RHP)
Spike Scali (LHP)
Jamey Carter (1B)
Nigel Kim (RHP)
Lou LaRoche (LHP)
Clayton Pierce (SS)
Dweezil Steenstra (2B)
Joel Lieber (RF)
1B - One of the premiere players in the league, Felipe Tarasco started as a left fielder but moved to first base for defensive reasons. He won the gold glove at the position in season 7 and was voted MVP for the All Star game and just missed out on the MVP of the seaons. He finished with .306, 53, 134 and at 29 years of age is in the prime of his career. Since making the majors in season 3, his lowest homerun total is 44.
2B - Last year was Grover Grimsley's rookie year and he struggled, finishing with numbers of .234, 19, 50 with 50 stolen bases. For a .336 minor league hitter he should only improve. Grover will again be batting leadoff.
SS - There are not many shortstops who can hit for the power of Freddy Kwon (78), have success versus righthanded pitching (94) and field his position well (88,83,96,86). He does have problems making contact (31/121 K's) but at 25 he only has room for improvement. His numbers would be acceptable for 29 other teams at the SS position (.245, 27, 82) .
3B - Will be a platoon with Wayne Ryan, who has light tower power (98/33 HRs) and veteran Richard Carson, who is on the downside of his career. The Crawdads have 4 players in AA or higher who are ready to take over this position in the long term.
C - Greg Wright has the offensive numbers (.295, 1, 33) while Rafael Samuel has the defensive prowess, but provides some offensive wallop (.265, 13, 32). Considering that Rafael only played against lefthanders, and not all of them, those HR numbers are impressive. Gregg Wright hopes to improve on his offensive numbers (.316 career average) if he wants to stay in the starting lineup.
LF - There is no one on the team with a grittier, tough as nails personality as Edgar Lecuona. He finished at .270, 36, 103, which is comprable to the numbers he put up last year, which was his first complete year for the Crawdads.
CF - The Crawdads are going to give Wascar Tabaka one more year in AAA before handing him the position, so until then it will be a platoon of Nolan Steele (.277, 23, 76) and Aaron Prinz, who will get his first taste of major league action. Aaron is a career .296 hitter in the minor leagues, but provides excellent speed at the top of the order.
RF - Gary Quinn is another rookie waiting to make a name for himself. Only Wayne Ryan can hit the ball farther. Gary hit 4 homeruns in 56 at bats in his September callup last year.
SP - Livan Flores can pitch with the best of them, winning a Cy Young in season 4. He eats up innings like no other pitcher (223 to 261 innings in his 7 seasons) and is the anchor of the staff. He finished 17-7, with a 3.50 ERA in his best season since season 4. Rookie Albert Nunez hope to be Livan light. He's averaged close to 200 innings in his 4 minor league seasons and has a career ERA of 3.74. Horacio Lugo made the AAA All Star team last year and in his brief call up with the Crawdads finished 3-1, 3.54 in his 8 starts. The starting staff is rounded out by Ramon Kim (10-6, 4.53) and Terrence Buchanan (4-8, 4.77).
RP - The Crawdads really have not found a stopper, but Socks Bryant saves games (31, 138 for his career) but he also blows saves. His 89 appearances led the Crawdads, but his 4.34 has to be reduced to be an effective stopper. Arthur Bonham (3-11, 10 saves, 5.05) made the All Star team in seasons 5 and 6, but fell out of favor with the manager after one too many explosive innings. The bullpen is rounded out by Wally Delesandro (4.34, 42 gms), Buddy Minor (must improve on that 5.93 ERA), rookie Clay Rhodes (0.00 ERA in 7 appearances) and veteran Artie Roberts (3.10 in 62 appearances)
So scoring runs shouldn't be a problem for this bunch. Getting pitching, without having to rush a minor league prospect is the goal.
Top prospects in the minors that are surefire major leaguers include:
Felix Bailes (LHP)
Estaban Marquez (RHP)
Barry Philipps (RHP)
Wascar Tabaka (CF)
Chad Webster (SS)
Terry Brooks (3B)
Mariano Gutierrez (closer)
Clarence Hunter (RF)
Olmedo Lee (LHP)
Miguel Liriano (set-up)
Jason Newfield (RHP)
Spike Scali (LHP)
Jamey Carter (1B)
Nigel Kim (RHP)
Lou LaRoche (LHP)
Clayton Pierce (SS)
Dweezil Steenstra (2B)
Joel Lieber (RF)
New look Beast Ready to Growl
(Chicago - Associated Press) Fresh off a visit to the National League Championship Series, the Chicago Beast enter season eight with an appetite that can only be quenched with a World Series pelt. Perhaps understanding that previous rosters weren’t built with the requisite pitching, defense, and hitting balance, Beast Management implemented a specific franchise facelift in the middle of last season. Huge deals with Anaheim, Portland, Seattle, and San Diego have focused on acquiring young pitching, defensive upgrades, and can’t miss power hitting prospects.
Playing in an offensive park requires the presence of heavy hitters and this version of the Beast doesn’t disappoint. Second year monster, B.C. Parent is ready to take center stage with the best hitters in the NL. Parent is joined by James Suzuki, acquired in the blockbuster with SD. Suzuki-san should benefit greatly from a full season in the Windy City. Rounding out the heart of the lineup is the NL's most underated performer, Dale Hinske. Coming off a 45 hr campaign, Hinske knows similar production might lead to a big contract in Free Agency.
The offense is rounded out by a steady group of performers including Johnnie Root, Lou " Velvet Underground" Reed, Slim Lowery, Cookie Prince, and table setter Allen Matthews.
The new look pitching staff is led by the oft-talked about and battle tested Felipe Matos, a spectacular 44-19 in his 2 ½ seasons with Chicago. Randy Coreycomes over from Portland in preseason deal to assume the two spot in the rotation. Southpaws Joe Reid and Kiki Pena hold down positions three and four, while wily veteran and three time All-Star, David Beltran, grabs the last starting postion.
The bullpen features NABCL all-time save leader Jeremy Damon, decorated veteran Greg Hamilton, accomplished spot starters/long relievers Roberto Fernandezand Ramiro Cornejo, and sparkling set-up man Craig Parker.
Of equal importance to Beast faithful has been management's attempt to re-stock the farm with future big league talent. Since the All-Star break last season, young arms in waiting John Lee, Wally Sanders, and Ugueth Nerudahave been added to the fold. On the offensive side D'Angelo Leeand Julian Penahave Chicago faithful quivering in anticipation.
Without further adieu, your season 8 Beast
1. Allen Matthews - SS: Excellent eye and contact numbers should score 100+ runs.
2. Johnny Root - 2b: Avg dropped in 7.0 but production numbers went up; still a good young, stick
3. James Suzuki - 1b: Should love the hitter friendly park at home and protection of Parent behind him.
4. BC Parent - LF: Avg was not up to snuff in rookie year but still stroked 32 and drove in 96. Look for 15-20% increases in power and production
5. Dale Hinske - CF: Management was criticized for the three year deal it gave Hinske after season 4. He's ripped 31 and 45 in his first two seasons. Will he get to 50 this year?
6. Slim Lowery - RF: Wrigley should aid Lowery's output greatly; only true speed threat in lineup
7. Bernie Tatis - 3b: Injured shortly after being acquired in a mid-season deal last year, Tatis will provide good punch at the bottom of the order (20 and 85)
8. Lou Reed - C: Hit .302 with 13 hrs in only 298 at bats last year while providing a calming influence to the Beast ptiching staff.
Utility: Bob Buckley, Roger Payton, Buzz Carver, Bill Salazar
SP Felipe Matos
SP Randy Corey
SP Joe Reid
SP Kiki Pena
SP David Beltran
Long Ramiro Cornejo
Long Roerto Fernandez
Set-up Craig Parker
Set-up Dan Powell
Set-up Jeremy Damon
Close Greg Hamilton
Questions:
1) Closer by Committee? Management isnt convinced Hamilton will do the job as closer or that Damon has enoough left in the tank to do it one more time. A in-season trade will likely be in the offing...
2) Parent trap? His core numbers scream "next stop Cooperstown" but the young cub needs to live up to his promise this season
3) Lofty expectations? After a trip to the '05 Series, '06 was a disaster. Can this team overcome the high expectations of the Second City and it faithful fan base? Only time will tell.
Playing in an offensive park requires the presence of heavy hitters and this version of the Beast doesn’t disappoint. Second year monster, B.C. Parent is ready to take center stage with the best hitters in the NL. Parent is joined by James Suzuki, acquired in the blockbuster with SD. Suzuki-san should benefit greatly from a full season in the Windy City. Rounding out the heart of the lineup is the NL's most underated performer, Dale Hinske. Coming off a 45 hr campaign, Hinske knows similar production might lead to a big contract in Free Agency.
The offense is rounded out by a steady group of performers including Johnnie Root, Lou " Velvet Underground" Reed, Slim Lowery, Cookie Prince, and table setter Allen Matthews.
The new look pitching staff is led by the oft-talked about and battle tested Felipe Matos, a spectacular 44-19 in his 2 ½ seasons with Chicago. Randy Coreycomes over from Portland in preseason deal to assume the two spot in the rotation. Southpaws Joe Reid and Kiki Pena hold down positions three and four, while wily veteran and three time All-Star, David Beltran, grabs the last starting postion.
The bullpen features NABCL all-time save leader Jeremy Damon, decorated veteran Greg Hamilton, accomplished spot starters/long relievers Roberto Fernandezand Ramiro Cornejo, and sparkling set-up man Craig Parker.
Of equal importance to Beast faithful has been management's attempt to re-stock the farm with future big league talent. Since the All-Star break last season, young arms in waiting John Lee, Wally Sanders, and Ugueth Nerudahave been added to the fold. On the offensive side D'Angelo Leeand Julian Penahave Chicago faithful quivering in anticipation.
Without further adieu, your season 8 Beast
1. Allen Matthews - SS: Excellent eye and contact numbers should score 100+ runs.
2. Johnny Root - 2b: Avg dropped in 7.0 but production numbers went up; still a good young, stick
3. James Suzuki - 1b: Should love the hitter friendly park at home and protection of Parent behind him.
4. BC Parent - LF: Avg was not up to snuff in rookie year but still stroked 32 and drove in 96. Look for 15-20% increases in power and production
5. Dale Hinske - CF: Management was criticized for the three year deal it gave Hinske after season 4. He's ripped 31 and 45 in his first two seasons. Will he get to 50 this year?
6. Slim Lowery - RF: Wrigley should aid Lowery's output greatly; only true speed threat in lineup
7. Bernie Tatis - 3b: Injured shortly after being acquired in a mid-season deal last year, Tatis will provide good punch at the bottom of the order (20 and 85)
8. Lou Reed - C: Hit .302 with 13 hrs in only 298 at bats last year while providing a calming influence to the Beast ptiching staff.
Utility: Bob Buckley, Roger Payton, Buzz Carver, Bill Salazar
SP Felipe Matos
SP Randy Corey
SP Joe Reid
SP Kiki Pena
SP David Beltran
Long Ramiro Cornejo
Long Roerto Fernandez
Set-up Craig Parker
Set-up Dan Powell
Set-up Jeremy Damon
Close Greg Hamilton
Questions:
1) Closer by Committee? Management isnt convinced Hamilton will do the job as closer or that Damon has enoough left in the tank to do it one more time. A in-season trade will likely be in the offing...
2) Parent trap? His core numbers scream "next stop Cooperstown" but the young cub needs to live up to his promise this season
3) Lofty expectations? After a trip to the '05 Series, '06 was a disaster. Can this team overcome the high expectations of the Second City and it faithful fan base? Only time will tell.
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